Assessing Irregular Warfare: A Framework for Intelligence by Eric V. Larson, Derek Eaton, Brian Nichiporuk, Thomas S.

By Eric V. Larson, Derek Eaton, Brian Nichiporuk, Thomas S. Szayna

Offers an analytic framework and process for the intelligence research of abnormal war (IW) environments which may function the foundation for IW intelligence curriculum improvement efforts. Defines IW by way of stylized occasions: population-centric (such as counterinsurgency) and counterterrorism. presents a close evaluation of IW-relevant security coverage and procedure records and a listing of proper doctrinal guides.

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The classified SOCOM Global Campaign Plan for the War on Terrorism document would be expected to also discuss intelligence requirements of the greater war on terrorism (NMSPWOT, 2/06, p. 9). A next step for further refinement of intelligence requirements for the greater war on terrorism would be to review these documents. 40 Assessing Irregular Warfare: A Framework for Intelligence Analysis t t t t Operations Command (CDRUSSOCOM) as the supported commander in the greater war on terrorism. Annex F, Public Affairs: Coupled with the strategic communications guidance in Annex H, offers guidance for implementing public affairs campaigns in support of the greater war on terrorism.

For a review of recent policy and strategy documents that address IW, see Appendix A. 26 NMSP-WOT, 2/06, p. 9. , Multi-National Corps–Iraq). 36 Assessing Irregular Warfare: A Framework for Intelligence Analysis centric IW environments discussed earlier. For example, terrorism— the terrorizing of a civilian population—is an extreme form of coercing and influencing a government or population, the success of which is susceptible to analysis using the framework for population-centric IW situations. Put another way, like insurgents, terrorists compete for the support or compliance of the larger population: Extremists use terrorism—the purposeful targeting of ordinary people—to produce fear to coerce or intimidate governments or societies in the pursuit of political, religious, or ideological goals.

August 2006. S. S. Special Operations Command Center for Knowledge and Futures, Multi-Service Concept for Irregular Warfare, 2006, p. 11. 1 summarizes the evolution in DoD thinking about IW missions and activities. 1 Irregular Warfare Missions and Activities Mission/Activity Counterinsurgency Foreign internal defense (Support to) insurgency Unconventional warfare Stability/SSTRO Strategic communications Counterterrorism Psychological operations Civil-military operations Information operations Intelligence/counterintelligence QDR 2/06 X X X X DoD Sourcea CADD JCA Briefing Lexicon 2006 8/06 X X X X X (X) X (X) (X) (X) MSC 8/06 X X X X X X X X X X IW JOC 9/07 X X X X X X X X X X X NOTES: (1) JOC capability areas denoted with “(X)” are Tier 3 Special Operations and Information Operations JCAs that support IW rather than being direct IW missions.

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